Tag: bitcoin

Weekly Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn weekly range update1 Comment
eng
Daily Chart XBTUSD

XBT / USD weekly price range is unchanged at 865$-965$ | The XBTUSD cross remained above the VWAP and you can see in the attached chart that a price congestion is building up around $ 910; also for this week the main resistance is the price zone between the first and the second VWAP deviation line line between 965 and 1070 usd.
About support the VWAP is still valid and flat since several weeks,  around 865$.

The average daily RSI oscillator is approaching the overbought zone, i’ll observe carefully this market once the oscillator has come into this area (RSI above 70-80).

In cases of extreme fall the support area ranges from 600 to 700 USD.

Italian version here at bitchanger.com

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn weekly range update1 Comment
eng
Daily Chart XBTUSD

XBT / USD weekly price range is 865$-965$ | The XBTUSD cross has moved above the VWAP regaining a position of strength, for this week the main resistance is the price zone between the first and the second deviation line or the 965$-1070$ price range; This technical rebound should stop in this price range (970$-1070$ ) now we need to wait to see where will be done the next relative maximum to understand how it is positioned in the medium term, given the situation of the weekly chart I expect that the next top will be lower then the other one of 3 January done approx at 1170$.

As support it is valid the first negative deviation line VWAP at around $ 765 although I feel that the last minimum done at $750 is confirmed and i think to be right considering now the VWAP at 865$ as main support for this week and probably the next one.

The daily RSI oscillator average has reversed to the upside but without going into oversold first, thus great buying opportunities have not yet been materialized.

In cases of extreme fall the support area run from 590 to 680 USD.

ITA version here at bitchanger.com

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Short Term Trading, weekly range update1 Comment

 

eng
Daily Chart XBTUSD

XBT / USD weekly price range forecast 750$-855$ | The main resistance is the VWAP at 855$ and because this market dropped below it for the first time in months we can consider the cross XBTUSD in a weak position and the top at 1140$ done on January 3 is confirmed; to understand how it is positioned in the medium term our beloved BTC’s we need to see where the next bottom will be done.

 

As support is valid the first negative deviation line of the VWAP at around 750$ although I feel that the next minimum might be around 640$ or the second negative price deviation line of our mid-term VWAP .

In the previous update I wrote about my doubts if the VWAP at 850$ would have hold a second time the decline from the top after stopping that drop already once; the market indeed fell further but remained inside the support area that I indicated at that time.

The average of the RSI daily oscillator has finally drop near oversold levels, not giving a buy signal yet.

In cases of extreme drop support is price area between 580 and 660 USD.

Italian version here at bitchanger.com

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn weekly range update1 Comment
eng
Daily Chart XBTUSD

XBT / USD weekly price range of $820-$960 | The main resistance is the third price deviation line above the VWAP at $ 960 which also corresponds to an important resistance on the weekly chart that I showed in the previous update; the main support is the VWAP at approximately $750 even though I think it should work the first positive deviation line above the VWAP at $820. This week we’ll see if there will be enough strength to make a new high at $960 to conclude the year in the best possible way.

The average daily RSI oscillator is in overbought zone. The RSI on the weekly chart is also overbought and reached the value of 79, at this point there is a realistic chance that on the weekly chart a top is forming.

In case of extreme drop the support is the price area between 530 and $ 620 US.

Italian update here at bitchanger.com

Weekly Top Estimate

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Long Term Trading2 Comments

weekly
In the previous update of 18 November I wrote that I would have expected a weekly Top in the price area between 770 and 910 US dollars. This week the cross xbtusd did a strong acceleration with an up movement of more than $ 80; these large movements concentrated in a single week can move the price regression channel that i use with MetaTrader 4, especially if they happen in a single price bar. The indicator adapts to new information that comes in projecting new supports and resistances levels with the effort to obtain a better fit of what is happening.

The new resistance zone ranges from $820 to $970 but you have to consider that if this week bitcoin price will continue to rise with this strength even this new resistance area will change again.

For those who are anxious to take profit or go short I strongly suggest to wait and see where this currency pair will form the next congestion zone on the daily chart.

For my italian followers here’s the italian version at bitchanger.com

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Short Term Trading, weekly range update1 Comment

engXBT / USD weekly price range forecast $760-$800 | Even this week the support/resistance levels remain the same, the main resistance is the second dev. line above the VWAP at $800 while the support is still valid the VWAP at $720 approximately but with these levels of low volatility i think it will be support the first dev.line above the VWAP at $760. This week we’ll see if there will be enough energy to break the $800 and reach the next resistance at $840 by year-end.

The average of the daily RSI oscillator is in overbought territory. The RSI on the weekly chart is slighty overbought just above the threshold of 70, despite being overbought for some continuous weeks i think that a maximum on the weekly chart has not yet been done.

In case of extreme drop the support is the price area between 495 and 590 US.

Italian version here at bitchanger.com

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn weekly range update
XBTUSD daily chart
XBTUSD daily chart

XBT / USD weekly price range of $700-$800 | For this week the main resistance is the second price deviation line above the VWAP at $800 while the support I believe it is valid the VWAP itself at about $ 700. The average daily RSI oscillator is not giving significant indications, it continues to remain above the mid point of 50 confirming the moderate bullish tendency. The RSI on the weekly chart is overbought but is just above the threshold of 70, it may still report the formation of a Top not having the bitcoin still broke decisively the $790 resistance on the weekly chart.

In cases of extreme drop support is the price zone between $485 and $570.

Italian version here at bitchanger.

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Short Term Trading2 Comments
XbtUsd daily chart
XbtUsd daily chart

XBT / USD weekly price range of $690-$785 | ALMA daily moving average is slightly bearish, for this week the main resistance is the second price deviation line above the VWAP at $785 while the support I believe it is valid the VWAP itself at about $ 690.

The average daily RSI oscillator is not giving significant indications, it continues to remain above the mid point of 50. The RSI on the weekly chart is overbought but is just above the threshold of 70, it may still report the formation of a Top not having the bitcoin still broke decisively the $750 resistance.

In cases of extreme drop support is the price zone between $465 and $550.

Italian version here at bitchanger.

Weekly Top Estimate

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Long Term Trading2 Comments
Weekly Top Forecast
Weekly Top Forecast

XBTUSD cross has finally break through the first resistance above the mid-line of the price channel now at $640, same price level of the 2 month VWAP. In the attached chart I highlighted the price zone where I expect the next top will fall.

I believe that the next top will fall in this price zone, precisely between 770 and 910 US dollars; because of the long-term trend still up i think that bitcoin could make a maximum higher than the previous one of June, it is not excluded a Top around $ 900 as shown in the weekly chart.

What if i’m Wrong

It exists the possibility that i’m wrong if the dominant timeframe isn’t the weekly.
So what? Well we can switch to another timeframe for example the monthly chart. Here the price channel is much wider then the weekly chart, midpoint is at around $500 usd and the two positive deviation lines are at 870 and 1500 usd. Again we have a resistance similar to the weekly chart, around 870-900.

In order to prove that my weekly scenaro is wrong XBTUSD have to break above 900 usd with strong volume, as you know a High-Volume Breakout signal a move higher possibly to $1000 and beyond.

Long Term Update: Weekly Chart

On By CryptoAdvisorIn Long Term Trading3 Comments
grafico-settimanale-xbtusd
Weekly Chart XBTUSD

In recent weeks the XBTUSD cross has finally accelerated to the upside after an accumulation period lasted two months, now it has reached the first resistance of the bullish price channel based on the weekly chart.

This area of resistance starts at $ 750 and ends at $890. I believe that the next top will fall in this price range, precisely between 750 and 890 US dollars. Because of the long-term trend still up i think that bitcoin could make a maximum higher than the previous one of June, it is not excluded a Top around $ 900 as shown in the weekly chart.

For those unwilling to risk it is not wrong to take profit at these price levels and eventually reopen the position once the $750 resistance level is broken.

Italian version here at Bitchanger.

Weekly Range Update

On By CryptoAdvisorIn weekly range update
eng
Daily Chart XBTUSD @bitstamp

XBT / USD weekly range $598 – $634 | ALMA daily moving average is bullish and the main resistance is the second price deviation line above the VWAP @$630 while the support is always the VWAP @$570 although i think it will remain above 595$ also this week.

A rise above $630 is close for the same reason i told you severa times in the past weeks, XBTUSD is slowly accumulating and the weekly ALMA moving average already turned up but its slope is very low for now, in the upcoming weeks there should be a final breakout above $630.

The RSI oscillator has moved to an equilibrium point around 50 and there is enough room for more upside movement till the overbought zone.

In the event of a sharp fall, as said many times is always very valuable the support around $420.

Italian version here at Bitchanger.com